Math Video
The other day I watched this very interesting introductory math training video that was in a series of videos. It was based on I think high school or college algebra.
I watched it kind of for nostalgia reasons. I enjoy math very much and I haven’t studied math in a long time. This particular series this particular video I mean was all about the S-curve.
The S-curve is an exponential saturation curve and you can find this saturation curve in a lot of different places. The example the guy gave was if you imagine a school with 500 students and if you imagine the y-axis representing the number of students who have the flu and the x-axis representing the number of days .
Sick Kids Get Everybody Sick
You imagine one person coming to school with the flu, the first one to three days only one person with the flu, the next 2-3-4 days will be maybe two or three people with the flu the next three or four days so be maybe four or five people the flu.
That’s when more and more people will start getting the flu and that’s where people with the flu will increase significantly versus time and that’s were the first inflection at the bottom of the S-curve is at the bottom part the bottom half of the S-curve.
One of the ways S-curve’s shows up a lot as in investments. The idea is if you see an investment if you see some kind of a company and very few people know about it and very few people are going to be interested in buying it.
Slowly And Then All At Once
Once a lot of people start to become interested in it, once a lot of people start to want to buy the stock that what will make the stock go up and so the idea is, there is an idea, there are plenty of ideas, one idea is that you can look for stocks or companies or investment vehicles like a bitcoin or something else.
The idea is to find these investments that are before that first S-curve inflection because you can buy a penny stock for example for a dollar or two dollars and then it goes through that first S-curve inflection it might go up to 10 bucks 20 bucks 30 bucks within a couple of weeks. This is kind of the holy Grail for penny stock investors.
Built into the idea of getting rich off a penny stock is the idea of of either getting lucky or getting some kind of a tip either from a friend or a blog or a forum and by this tip you buy this unknown stock and is gonna shoot to the moon right after you purchased it.
Not Statistically Likely To Get Rich By Being Lucky
But from a purely statistical treatment of this idea is very unlikely that once a stock makes its way to your friend or the blog of the forum it’s going to be before that first S-curve inflection before anyone before a lot of people before enough people find out about that stock to make its way to the form of the blogger the your friend is can be passed that first S-curve inflection.
That’s kind of the paradox. Everybody would love to get rich in the stock market but very few people are willing to put in the necessary work required that will allow you to get rich in the stock market and the work required to find a lot of these pre-S-curve inflection stocks that can make you a fortune.
It requires doing a lot of work which means doing a lot of research and this requires doing a couple hours of week researching potential S-curve candidates but because you can imagine what this might be like you might start to consider doing this just to see what it might be like.
Put In The Work To Get The Results
What the question really boils down to is do you want to spend the time researching stocks and make a lot of money or you just want to shift your perspective on what it might take to make a lot of money in the stock market.
Because one can, with sufficient time and effort, do sufficient research and use that research to buy stocks that will make you a lot of money and the more you study the stocks the more you research potential S-curve candidates the more you’ll develop an intuition for which stocks will go up in which stocks won’t go up.
That intuition won’t happen unless you first put in the time researching and watching the stocks that requires having a basket a handful of these potential S-curve stocks and then seeing which ones might go up after time.
Practice Makes Better
The more you do this, the better you’ll get, because like anything else this is a skill and the more you practice this skill the more you’ll improve the skill and if you make a decision to improve your moneymaking skills that can serve you for a long time.
After you finally develop your intuition after you finally realize after you spend all the time doing the research to develop your intuition to be able to carefully and effectively pick pre-S-curve inflection stocks you will soon start to make consistent money.
Once you make consistent money then there is a world of opportunity because once you have money there’s a lot more that you can do with your life because money essentially allows you to have time without needing to work.
Hard To Avoid Bubble Madness
One of the unexpected hard parts of investing is what you buy a stock at two or three dollars and it does turn out to be an S-curve stock that goes through an inflection point it still gonna be relatively unknown stock and so you buy it at two box you’ll sell it it may be 10 or 20 bucks.
But then you’ll have to sell it and not jump back in because sometimes that stock you bought it to box sold it 10 or 20 bucks that my go to 100 or 200 and that’s when he gets into bubble territory that’s the most dangerous time to buy stock when everyone and their sister is buying it.
That’s the hardest thing you can do is stay out when you get out and keep out when you get out.
Flattening OF The S Curve
If you can imagine day 20-25 at that school once 300 or 400 people at the school of 500 start to get the flu then the saturation curve will start to flatten out the top because the increase in people at the flu will naturally slow down because there’s less people that can get the flu and once all 500 people have the flu is can be flat.
At the very top you can see, can imagine that curve starting in the bottom left flat and then it curves and starts going up quickly towards a right but then kind of in the upper right section occurs over and it flattens out again that makes that that famous S-curve.
If you look for this S-curve you’ll find it in many many places anytime there’s any kind of a a viral transmission like social media marketing or illnesses or stock markets or any kind of idea that spreads through people you can find this S-curve in the sun and being able to understand this S-curve can help out in a lot of different ways.
Study Math For Kung Fu Brain
This is one of the cool things I like about studying math outside of college because when you study math in high school or college you’re kind of in a place we don’t really appreciate how you can use math once you kind of see matter what it is is a tool you can apply to a lot of different areas.
It starts to become very very interesting to study math and learn about math and see that math is really kung fu for your brain and the more you can study math and improve the kung fu for your brain the better you’ll be able to think in the better things you’ll be able to create with your thoughts.
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